Pick the Hugos!

I thought I'd throw out my predictions for tonight's Hugo Festivities which you can actually watch live at 8pm local Reno time here. [Note if that doesn't work, check the Hugo Award Site here for help]. I don't know enough about the editors, artists, semiprozines, to even hazard a less-than-informed guess so I'm limiting my picks to the major fiction categories. I'm also running out the door at the moment so I don't have the time to fully explain the rationale behind my picks. Feel free to make up some reasons for me.

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Best Novel

• Blackout/All Clear by Connie Willis (Ballantine Spectra)
• Cryoburn by Lois McMaster Bujold (Baen)
• The Dervish House by Ian McDonald (Gollancz; Pyr)
• Feed by Mira Grant (Orbit)
• The Hundred Thousand Kingdoms by N.K. Jemisin (Orbit)

What Should Win: The Dervish House

What Will Win: Blackout/All Clear

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Best Novella

• “The Lady Who Plucked Red Flowers beneath the Queen’s Window” by Rachel Swirsky (Subterranean Magazine, Summer 2010) - Read Online
• The Lifecycle of Software Objects by Ted Chiang (Subterranean) - Read Online
• “The Maiden Flight of McCauley’s Bellerophon” by Elizabeth Hand (Stories: All New Tales, William Morrow) - Read Online
• “The Sultan of the Clouds” by Geoffrey A. Landis (Asimov’s, September 2010) - Read Online (PDF)
• “Troika” by Alastair Reynolds (Godlike Machines, Science Fiction Book Club)

What Should Win: "The Lady Who Plucked Red Flowers Beneath the Queen's Window"
What Will Win: "The Liefcycle of Software Objects"

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Best Novelette

• “Eight Miles” by Sean McMullen (Analog, September 2010) - Read Online
• “The Emperor of Mars” by Allen M. Steele (Asimov’s, June 2010) - Read Online
• “The Jaguar House, in Shadow” by Aliette de Bodard (Asimov’s, July 2010) - Read Online
• “Plus or Minus” by James Patrick Kelly (Asimov’s, December 2010) - Read Online
• “That Leviathan, Whom Thou Hast Made” by Eric James Stone (Analog, September 2010) - Read Online

What Should Win: "That Leviathan, Whom Thou Hast Made" 
What Will Win: "That Leviathan, Whom Thou Hast Made"

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Best Short Story

• “Amaryllis” by Carrie Vaughn (Lightspeed, June 2010) - Read Online
• “For Want of a Nail” by Mary Robinette Kowal (Asimov’s, September 2010) - Read Online
• “Ponies” by Kij Johnson (Tor.com, November 17, 2010) - Read Online
• “The Things” by Peter Watts (Clarkesworld, January 2010) - Read Online

What Should Win: "The Things"
What Will Win: "For Want of a Nail"

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John W. Campbell Award for Best New Writer

• Saladin Ahmed
• Lauren Beukes
• Larry Correia
• Lev Grossman
• Dan Wells

Who Should Win: Lauren Beukes
Who Will Win: Lauren Beukes

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Who you got? Tune in tonight at 11pm EST to find out.